Seth GuikemaAssistant Professor Geography and Environmental Engineering Secondary Appointment: Civil Engineering, Earth & Planetary Science https://sites.google.com/site/guikemagroup/ (primary) Ames 205 (office) 410-516-6042 (primary) sguikema@jhu.edu (primary) ResearcherID webpage >> |
Education
| Ph.D. 2003, Stanford University |
| M.S. 1999, Stanford University |
| M.Eng. by Thesis 1998, University of Canterbury |
| B.S. 1994, Cornell University |
Experience
| 2008: Innovative Decisions, Inc.; Senior Decision Analyst [consulting] |
| 2008: Assistant Professor, Department of Geography and Environmental Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD |
| 2008-2014: Professor II (adjunct), Department of Industrial Economics, Risk Management and Planning, University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway. |
| 2005-2007: Assistant Professor, Zachry Department of Civil Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX |
| 2003-2005: Postdoctoral Associate, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY |
| Data analytics and data mining. |
| Probabilistic risk analysis |
| Performance and reliability of large-scale infrastructure systems in response to natural and human-induced hazards |
| Parametric and non-parametric count data regression |
| Modeling large-scale, interdependent infrastructure networks |
| Forecasting the impacts of hurricanes on infrastructure systems. |
| Environmental life-cycle assessment methods |
| environmental impacts of large-scale infrastructure systems |
| Bayesian probability modeling |
Journal Articles
| Francis, R.A., Geedipally, S.R., Guikema, S.D., Dhavala, S.S., Lord, D., Larocca, S. (2012). Characterizing the Performance of the Conway‐Maxwell Poisson Generalized Linear Model. Risk Analysis. |
| Rothschild, C., Mclay, L., Guikema, S. (2012). Adversarial Risk Analysis with Incomplete Information: A Level‐k Approach. Risk Analysis. |
| Nateghi, R., Guikema, S.D., Quiring, S.D. (2011). Comparison and Validation of Statistical Methods for Predicting Power Outage Durations in the Event of Hurricanes. Risk Analysis. |
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Yu, O.-Y., Guikema, S.D., Briaud, J.-L., Burnett, D. (2011). Quantitative decision tools for system selection in environmentally friendly drilling. Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems. 28(3). 185-208. DOI » View record in Web of Science SM |
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Aven, T., Guikema, S. (2011). Whose uncertainty assessments (probability distributions) does a risk assessment report: the analysts' or the experts'?. Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 96(10). 1257-1262. DOI » View record in Web of Science SM |
Conference Proceedings
| Nateghi, R., Guikema, S.D. "A Comparison of Top‐Down Statistical Models with Bottom‐Up Methods for Power System Reliability Estimation in High Wind Events". |
| Larocca, S., Guikema, S. "A Survey of Network Theoretic Approaches for Risk Analysis of Complex Infrastructure Systems". |
| Guikema, S., Han, S.R., Quiring, S. "Estimating Power Outages during Hurricanes Using Semi-Parametric Statistical Methods". |
| Bagchi, A., Sprintson, A., Guikema, S., Bristow, E., Brumbelow, K. "Modeling performance of interdependent power and water networks during urban fire events", pp.1637-1644. |
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Yu, O., Guikema, S., Bickel, J.E., Briaud, J.L., Burnett, D. "Systems Approach and Quantitative Decision Tools for Technology Selection in Environmentally Friendly Drilling". DOI » 10.1080/10286608.2010.543280 View record in Web of Science SM |
Awards & Honors
| 2012: Best Paper Award, Risk Analysis journal for "Modeling Intelligent Adversaries for Terrorism Risk Assessment: Some Necessary Conditions for Adversary Models" (1 of 5 best papers selected) |
| 2012: Best Paper award, Risk Analysis journal for "Adversarial Risk Analysis with Incomplete Information: A level-k approach" with Rothschild and McLay. (1 of 5 best papers) |
| 2010: Chauncy Starr Award from the International Society for Risk Analysis: "awarded to any member age 40 years or younger for outstanding achievement in ... risk analysis and exceptional promise for continued contributions to risk analysis" |
| 2002: 2002 Best Paper award from the INFORMS Military Applications Section and the Military Operations Research Society for:Paté-Cornell, M.E. and S.D. Guikema. 2002. “Probabilistic Modeling of Terrorist Threats: A Systems Analysis Approach to Setting Prior |
| 2001: Technical paper winner, Economics track, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics Space 2001 Conference |
| 1999: 1999 Best Paper in Environmental Conservation for: Guikema, S.D. and M. Milke. 1999. “Quantitative Decision Tools for Conservation Program Planning: Practice, Theory, and Potential.†Environmental Conservation, Vol. 26, No. 3, pp. 179-189. |
| 1998: Best paper in the Quality and Manufacturing Technology category at the 5th Annual New Zealand Engineering and Technology Postgraduate Conference (1998) |
| 2001 - 2003: Department of Defense Science and Engineering Graduate Fellowship (2001-2003) |
| 2000 - 2001: Centennial Teaching Assistant, School of Engineering, Stanford University, 2000-2001 |
| 1999 - 2000: Teaching Assistant of the Year, Department of Industrial Engineering & Engineering Management, Stanford University, 1999-2000 |
| 1995 - 1999: U.S. Department of Energy Marilyn Lloyd Fellowship |
| 1998 - 1998: Fulbright Fellowship (1998) |
Presentations
| Hurricanes, Power Systems, and Climate Change, New York Area Energy Economists, January 24, 2013 |
| Hurricanes, Power Systems, and Climate Change, Rice University Department of Civil Engineering, January 11, 2012 |
| Intergenerational Risk Management Issues, Foundations of Risk Analysis Workshop, Salo, Italy, January 8, 2012 |
| Infrastructure Modeling for Environmental and Disaster Assessment and Management, Nanjing University School of the Environment, January 6, 2012 |
| Hurricanes, Climate Change, and Power Systems Risk, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences Seminar, Johns Hopkins University, October 14, 2011 |
| Bad Things Happen to Good Power Systems: Models and Experiences in Forecasting Hurricane Power Outages, M. Gordan Wolman Seminar, Department of Geography & Environmental Engineering, Johns Hopkins University., October 1, 2011 |
| Plenary Talk: Hurricanes, Power Systems, and Climate Change, U.S. Department of Energy Biological and Environmental Systems Meeting, Washington, D.C., September 1, 2011 |
| Complex Systems Modeling and Applications, GIAI Conference, Johns Hopkins University, April 1, 2011 |
| Methods for Natural Hazard Infrastructure Risk Assessment, IBM Watson Research Center, Invited Talk, November 15, 2010 |
| Resource Allocation for Homeland Defense, Discrete Mathematics and Theoretical Computer Science Workshop on Game Theory For Homeland Security. (Invited Talk), September 15, 2010 |
| Predicting Power Outages Due to Hurricanes, Johns Hopkins University Alumni Association presentation in New York city, December 18, 2009 |
| Predicting Power Outages Due to Hurricanes, Department of Homeland Security National Communications System Senior Leadership Briefing, December 8, 2009 |
| Risk Analysis for Interdependent Infrastructure Systems, Department of Fire Science and System Safety, Lund University, Sweden (invited departmental seminar), August 19, 2009 |
| Thoughts on the ALARP Principle, Department of Industrial Economics, Risk Management, and Planning, University of Stavanger (Norway), August 14, 2009 |
| Using Statistics to Understand Complex Environment, Infrastructure, Human Interactions During Disasters, Biostatistics seminar series, Johns Hopkins University School of Public Health (invited talk), April 15, 2009 |
| Risk, Trees, and Electric Power Systems, International Society of Arborists, Tree Risk Assessment Conference, Charlotte, NC. (Plenary Talk), February 5, 2009 |
| Modeling Intelligent Threats, Workshop on Vulnerability Assessment of Critical Infrastructure with Case Studies on Power Transmission Networks and Dams, University of Wisconsin, Madison. (Plenary Talk), January 7, 2009 |
| Statistical Assessment of the Influence of Climate Change and Climate Variability on Hurricane Hazards, Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Johns Hopkins University (Departmental Seminar), November 18, 2008 |
| Modeling Infrastructure Network Risk Using Statistical Models . Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Texas A&M University. 2007-05-00. (Invited), April 30, 2007 |
| Probabilistic Risk and Decision Modeling for Complex Energy Systems . Thayer School of Engineering, Dartmouth College. 2007-05-00. (Invited), April 30, 2007 |
| Modeling Count Data for Environmental Decision-Making . Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University. 2007-04-00., March 31, 2007 |
| Modeling Count Data for Environmental Decision-Making . Department of Geography and Environmental Engineering, Johns Hopkins University. 2007-02-00. (Invited), January 31, 2007 |
| Modeling Count Data for Infrastructure Management . Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The University of Maryland. 2007-02-00. (Invited), January 31, 2007 |
| Risk Analysis in the DHS Era: Game Theory, Bayesian Probability, and Setting Priorities . Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University. 2006-09-00. (Invited), August 31, 2006 |
| Probabilistic Methods for Assessing and Managing Infrastructure Reliability . Zachry Department of Civil Engineering. 2005-02-00. (Invited), January 31, 2005 |
| Probability Modeling of Count Data for Reliability Analysis Department of Mathematics, U.S. Naval Academy. . 2005-01-00. (Invited), December 31, 2004 |
| Risk Analysis for Complex Infrastructure Systems: Bayesian Methods and Terrorist Threat Modeling . Department of Civil Engineering, University of California, Berkeley. 2004-02-00. (Invited), January 31, 2004 |
| Optimal Resource Allocation in a Design Team with Asymmetric Information . Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, George Washington University. 2003-04-00. (Invited), March 31, 2003 |
| Optimal Resource Allocation in a Design Team with Asymmetric Information Ivey School of Business, University of Western Ontario. . 2003-04-00. (Invited), March 31, 2003 |
| Decision and Risk Analysis for Resource Allocation . Saïd School of Business, Oxford University. 2002-12-00. (Invited), November 30, 2002 |
| Preventing Disaster by Design: Resource Allocation in the Design Phase . Massachusetts Institue of Technology, Department of Aerospace Engineering and the Engineering Systems Division. 2002-04-00. (Invited), March 31, 2002 |
Committees
| 2011: Whiting School of Engineering Undergraduate Education Visioning Committee Member |
| 2010: Department of Geography and Environmental Engineering PhD fellowship committee |
| : Faculty Search Committee, Zachry Department of Civil Engineering, Texas A&M University, August 2006-April 2007 |
| : Program Committee Member, Zanvyl Krieger School of Arts and Sciences, Advanced Academic Programs, Post-Baccalaureate Certificate in Geographic Information Systems, 2008-present |
| : Masters of Engineering Management Program Departmental Advisor for Geography and Environmental Engineering, Johns Hopkins University (2008-present) |
| 2011 - 2014: Member of the Council, International Society for Risk Analysis |
| 2011 - 2014: Council Member, INFORMS Decision Analysis Society |
| 2011 - 2014: Membership Committee, IFORMS Decision Analysis Society |
| 2010 - 2012: Faculty committee member, Sustainable Hopkins Infrastructure Program |
| 2010 - 2010: Department of Geography and Environmental Engineering Senior Administrator Search Committee |
| 2008 - 2010: Department of Geography and Environmental Engineering, M.S. reevaluation ad-hoc committee, 2008. |
| 2010: Newcomers Committee, Decision Analysis Society of the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), 2008-present. |
| 2006 - 2007: Chair, Engineering & Infrastructure Specialty Group, Society for Risk Analysis |